January 2017
Message 61

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[Met-jobs] Potential PhD Studentship at the University of Birmingham (UK)

From Roger Brugge <>
To "" <>
Date Thu, 19 Jan 2017 14:16:39 +0000

Forwarded from CLIMLIST...

Closing Date:
Monday, 23 January 2017 (!!!)

Future changes of tropical cyclones in East Asia and potential
adaptation measures

Potential PhD Studentship in the context of the Central England NERC
Training Alliance (CENTA)

Climate over eastern Asia is mainly characterized by the East-Asian
summer monsoon (EASM), the related formation of the quasi-stationary
Changma-Baiu-Meiyu frontal system, and the occurrence of tropical
cyclones (TCs). Possible changes of the EASM and the occurrence of
extreme tropical cyclones under enhanced greenhouse gas concentrations
could have high impact on society and economy of one of the most densely
populated regions of the globe.

Regional decision processes for the development of suitable adaptation
strategies or the timely initiation of related mitigation efforts in
East Asia will strongly depend on robust and comprehensive information
about future near-term as well as long-term potential changes in the
climate system. Based on physical process understanding, it is important
to quantify the regional effects of global or hemispheric scale
phenomena for both, the scientific community to understand potential
changes and the impact community (incl. decision makers) to act
proactively in the most suitable manner. The three most important
aspects in this context are the provision of a) relevant, timely, and b)
comprehensive information about potential changes as well as c)
information about the quality of the confidence in the information.

is aimed at analysing and assessing economic losses caused by TCs in the
East Asian region. Additionally different adaptation measures damping
future losses should be compared. The main goals are to

·establish a relationship between observed TCs and observed economic
losses triggered by them, in order to

·predict possible future changes in frequency and intensity, thereby
estimating a change in damage for the climate predictions and eventually to

·decide which adaptation strategies are suitable for the East Asian
region given the future changes of TCs.

This study will be embedded in the project FOREX (Fostering Regional
Decision Making by the Assessment of Uncertainties of Future Regional
Extremes and their Linkage to Global Climate System Variability for
China and East Asia), which is part of the Met Office CSSP China project
funded by the Newton fund. FOREX aims to analyse changes of local and
regional extreme events (TCs, EASM) under changed future climate
conditions using a huge amount of different climate projection datasets
(CMIP3, CMIP5, Perturbed-physic ensembles) with a strong focus on
climate change signals on longer time-scales.

CENTA students will attend 45 days training throughout their PhD
including a 10 day placement. In the first year, students will be
trained as a single cohort on environmental science, research methods
and core skills. Throughout the PhD, training will progress from core
skills sets to master classes specific to the student's projects and themes.

Specific for this project, the PhD student will gain skills to analyse
state-of-the-art forecast data. This training will be in direct
modelling as well as in a response surface approach and, specifically,
is in:

·extreme value and multi-variate analytical statistics

·statistical modelling (multi-linear regression)

·the basics of CAT models and their specific features to model hazards,
vulnerabilities and exposure

·fieldwork, integrated modelling,

·GIS, and relevant programming giving the student skills identified as
‘most wanted’ for environmental jobs; ‘modelling’,
‘multi-disciplinarity’, ‘risk and uncertainty’.

This is excellent employment market preparation as scientific research
skills, technical analysis and industry related model skills will be
practiced and gained.

Partners in this CENTA-PhD studentship will be UoBirmingham and regional
partners in China (e.g. the Nanjing University) with which the PI has
scientific collaboration in the framework of the CSSP-China project.
Further on, collaborations exist with different groups at the UK Met
Office, who is leading institution in this Newton Fund funded project.

Applications for the 2017/18 intake are now open.

Please note that the closing date for applications is 23rd January 2017.

Please find more information including how to apply here:

Best regards

Gregor Leckebusch

Dr. Gregor C. Leckebusch
Senior Lecturer for Meteorology and Climatology
EHS Postgraduate Research Tutor
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences
University of Birmingham
B15 2TT
United Kingdom

Associate Professor (Privatdozent)
Institute for Meteorology
FU Berlin
email: <>

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