November 2012
Message 45

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[Met-jobs] Hazard Prediction Scientist

From "Giblin, Laura" <>
To <>
Date Tue, 13 Nov 2012 16:31:09 -0000

Job opportunity

Hazard Prediction Scientist

Salary: Starting £25,500 and for exceptional candidates you to £29,100 + competitive benefits, including Civil Service Pension

Generic role: Scientist

Profession: Science and Engineering

Permanent, Full time at Met Office, Exeter

Closing date for applications: 11 December 2012

Background information

An extreme weather event or other natural hazard such as flooding, drought, cold, heat, snow-storm, earthquake or volcanic ash has the potential to cause adverse impacts on human health and safety along with the impacts on utilities such as electricity and water, and transport. The recently formed Natural Hazards Partnership, supported by the Cabinet Office, brings together expertise across the UK's leading Public Sector Agencies with the aim of drawing upon scientific advice in the preparation, response and review of natural hazards. The Partnership provides a collaborative environment to enable the development of new, innovative products and services to provide better, more coordinated and coherent advice for government and the resilience community. Central to the development of this is a Hazard Impact Model designed to estimate the impact of hazards on society. This model combines probabilistic hazard predictions with data on societal vulnerability and exposure to estimate societal risk due to the hazard, and has already demonstrated potential through case studies on wind, landslides and surface water flooding impacts on the road network. This job is within the Weather Impacts team in the Weather Science area of the Met Office to provide science research and development in support of the NHP/HIM, relating the predictability of weather to societal impact with the aim of improving prediction of weather impact. The key hazard area to be addressed is likely to be snow and ice, but there may also be opportunities in other areas such as wind, flooding or fire risk. This is a new team in a rapidly growing area, and the post offers scope to make a leading contribution to a new strategic development.

Specific job purpose

This job role is to work on the further development of the Hazard Impact Model to apply it to a wider range of hazards and impacts, in collaboration with the experts in partner organisations.

Specific job responsibilities

·         Analysis of weather impacts (particularly winter weather) on sectors of society (eg the transport sector) with a view to incorporating them into the Hazard Impact Model framework and enabling the creation of sector-specific weather impact warnings.

·         Analysing vulnerability and exposure information provided by NHP partner organisations to identify significant and causal impact links with weather, and coupling with the predictability of the weather hazard to understand the predictability of impact.

·         Collaboration with partners working on observations of impact to verify and calibrate impact-related warnings.

·         Implementation of Hazard Impact Model capabilities in an operational framework, including suitable code documentation and implementation through code management systems.

·         Communication of the results of hazard analysis through presentations and scientific reports and peer-review papers where appropriate.

·         Enhancement of the Natural Hazards Partnership through strong collaboration, taking advantage of the experience and skills across the partners.

Qualifications, skills and abilities required


·         Research experience to PhD or equivalent level in a physical, geo- or environmental science or similar discipline, or in statistics.

·         Demonstrated ability to complete statistical analysis of data from a variety of sources for case studies, including quality control of data. Experience with time-series analysis is particularly useful.

·         Demonstrated ability to perform scientific research or development with limited supervision.

·         Experience with computer model development and documentation.

·         Ability to write reports which can be understood by a range of scientific and non-scientific readers.

·         Strong interpersonal skills capable of working effectively in multi-disciplinary partnership environment.

·         Demonstrated ability to deliver work to agreed deadlines.


·         Proficient user of GIS - ArcGIS 9.3 and above.

·         Experienced use of R.

·         Experience in programming in Python or C.

Additional supplementary information

This job is based in Exeter. There are extensive opportunities for collaborative working with NHP partner organizations.


For more information please visit



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